Bitcoin Price Continues to Fall. How Concerned Should Investors Be?
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For the first time since January, the price of Bitcoin fell below $30,000, underlining the cryptocurrency’s volatility at a time when more and more individuals are interested in joining in on the action.
For this reason, we’ve spoken with investing gurus and financial consultants who advise against putting a large portion of your portfolio into the asset class. They work with clients to ensure that volatile crypto investments don’t get in the way of other financial goals, including as putting money aside for an emergency fund or paying off high-interest debt.
“You have a high probability of losing everything, but a small possibility of winning big,” says Nate Nieri, a CFP at Modern Money Management in San Diego. He advises against gambling a quantity that would burden your family or prohibit you from reaching your objectives if you lost everything.
What Does This Mean for Cryptocurrency Traders?
Swings like this are to be expected for long-term crypto investors who use a buy-and-hold strategy. According to Humphrey Yang, the personal finance expert behind Humphrey Talks, the recent market dips are nothing to be concerned about, and he avoids reviewing his own accounts during unpredictable market drops.
“I went through the 2017 cycle, too,” Yang says, referring to the 2017 ‘crypto crash,’ in which many major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, lost a significant amount of value. “I understand that these things are quite volatile, and that they can drop by as much as 80% on any one day.”
Cryptocurrency investments should make up less than 5% of your whole portfolio, according to experts. According to Bill Noble, Chief Technical Analyst at Token Metrics, a cryptocurrency analytics platform, if you’ve done that, don’t worry about the swings since they’ll keep happening.
“Volatility is as old as the hills, and it shows no signs of going away,” Noble argues. “It’s a problem you have to deal with.”
Yang advocates employing the same method that works for all long-term investments: set it and forget it, as long as your crypto investments don’t get in the way of your other financial goals and you’ve only put in what you’re ultimately willing to lose.
You may have too much depending on your crypto investments if this type of severe drop upsets you. Only invest what you’re willing to lose. Even if the price decline has caused you to reconsider your crypto holdings, the same advice applies: don’t act hastily or upend your portfolio.
strategy is being implemented too soon. Consider what you’d be more comfortable with in the future, such as devoting less to crypto or diversifying through crypto-related equities and blockchain funds rather than buying crypto directly (though you should still expect volatility when cryptocurrency markets fluctuate).
“Don’t bother checking on it. That’s the best you can hope for. If you let your emotions to get the best of you, you may sell at the wrong time and make the incorrect decision,” Yang warns.
What Should You Do If You’re Interested in Crypto But Haven’t Invested Yet?
Yang’s approach to crypto is similar to his approach to regular stock market trading, but some analysts believe bitcoin is too distinct from traditional investments to draw any historical analogies. That’s why Savvy Girl Money’s A’Shira Nelson is staying away.
Nelson like to invest in low-cost index funds since they have a long track record, according to her. She is afraid of these wild swings because of the newness of bitcoin and the absence of trackable data.
Potential buyers on the lookout for a bargain should be aware that market changes are unavoidable, and they should expect more of the same in the future. Prepare to lose much more money if you invest now, when prices are still reasonably low. Again, only invest what you’re willing to lose after you’ve taken care of other financial priorities such as emergency savings and traditional retirement accounts.
What’s Causing Bitcoin’s Recent Drop?
Many investors consider price swings in Bitcoin to be part of the game, but “volatility is difficult for individual investors to deal with,” according to Noble. He, like Yang, advises against selling too soon.
While this dip resembles the sell-off of 2017, Bitcoin’s presence has risen significantly since then. According to a recent research by Glassnode Insights, a blockchain analysis organization, new short-term investors who are selling their holdings in response to the downturn may be affecting the further decline in Bitcoin’s value.
While swings are to be expected, Noble believes this swing is unusual. “I was under the impression that the market was maturing and that these incidents would become less frequent and serious. “Woah, was I wrong,” he admits.
This particular decrease was triggered by a number of factors, according to Noble, ranging from excitement about low-quality coins to harsh remarks from Elon Musk to China’s recent crackdown on crypto services. The outpouring of support made the sale “all the more brutal,” according to Noble.
He compares the decline to the 1987 stock market crisis, which took months to recover from. However, Noble believes that because crypto moves far faster today than equities did in the 1980s, we may see a faster comeback.
“Don’t freak out and puke,” Noble advises. “You can try to handle the volatility if you keep your positions small.”